Cross-pressured voting and the failure of Ohio’s marijuana oligopoly

While some have claimed that last Tuesday’s defeat for Ohio’s Issue 3, which would have legalized recreational marijuana in the state, is an example of liberals losing the culture wars, the actual dynamics of this proposed amendment’s failure are far more nuanced, and may even tell the opposite story. Instead of serving as a defeat for liberals in the culture wars, the failure of this referendum shows what happens when voters are faced with multiple, competing concerns as part of the same issue.

Before getting into the particulars of the amendment, let me offer two considerations that serve as a backdrop for Issue 3. First, recent polling has found that the majority of Ohioans support the legalization of marijuana. An October 8, 2015 Quinnipiac Poll found that 53% of Ohioans supported allowing people to possess small amount of marijuana for personal use, while 44% were opposed. Even among Republicans, 32% were in favor (65% were opposed)....

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